What do AIDS research, product warranties, and natural gas production have in common?

Crystal Linkletter, in the Department of Statistics and Actuarial Science, successfully completed her thesis on "Predicting Natural Gas Production in the Presence of Reporting Delays".

The Energy Information Administration needs current, up to date, information on natural gas production for the United States. Yet, the system for reporting production suffers from reporting delays of up to several months. Can estimates based on incomplete data be adjusted for these reporting delays?

It is interesting that the best method for adjusting the estimates of natural gas production for reporting delays is that currently used for estimating the number of AIDS cases or estimating the number of products that fail while under warranty also adjusting for reporting delays.

This type of interdisciplinary work is a hallmark of our program in Applied Statistics at Simon Fraser University and illustrates how methodological advances in one discipline can be applied to other, seemingly unrelated areas.

The work on this thesis was completed as part of the ASA/EIA Research Fellowship awarded to Crystal Linkletter earlier in the year. The value of the award is comparable to an NSERC PostGraduate Scholarship. The Energy Information Administration (EIA) has established a Research Fellowship Program to be conducted by the American Statistical Association (ASA). The general objective of the program is to foster collaborative and interdisciplinary research efforts that will stimulate the development and advancement of methodology and research relevant to a wide range of EIA programs.

For more information, please contact Crystal Linkletter (cdlinkle (at) stat.sfu.ca) or her supervisor Randy Sitter (sitter (at) stat.sfu.ca), Department of Statistics and Actuarial Science.